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Ischemic stroke incidence in intermediate or high-risk patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement versus surgical aortic valve replacement: a comparative systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background and purpose

This comparative systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the incidence of ischemic stroke in intermediate-to-high-risk patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement versus surgical aortic valve replacement.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis following the PRISMA guidelines, searching PubMed, Google Scholar, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases from their inception to December 2023. The evaluated outcomes were primarily incidence of stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA), along with other secondary safety end-points at 30 days and 1 year post-procedure. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were utilized for each study, employing a random-effects model for data synthesis irrespective of heterogeneity. Statistical heterogeneity was assessed using I2 statistics. All statistical analyses were conducted using Review Manager.

Results

We screened 8028 articles and included 8 studies consisting of 5 randomized controlled trials and 3 observational studies. The studies examining 30-day and 1-year stroke incidence found no significant difference between TAVR and SAVR patients (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.17, p = 0.30, OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.33, p = 0.67, respectively). Both TAVR and SAVR also had a comparable risk of having a transient ischemic attack within 30 days (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.24 to 3.63, p = 0.92, I2 52%) and 1 year (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.82, p = 0.56, I2 0%) following the procedure. Regarding safety endpoints, TAVR had lower rates of all-cause mortality and acute kidney injury at 1 year post-procedure, but a higher incidence of major vascular complications at both 30 days and 1 year compared with SAVR.

Conclusion

The results suggest that TAVR and SAVR have comparable outcomes for both TIA and stroke incidence at 30 days and 1 year post-procedure, but display varying safety profiles in intermediate-to-high surgical risk patients.

Introduction

Stroke has a significant impact on disability, leading to a decline in the overall health and standard of living of individuals aged 50 years and older and impairing their day-to-day activities. It has consistently been a major contributor to ailments in this age group from 1990 to 2019 [1], with the highest global disease burden persisting to be cardiovascular diseases [2], reporting approximately 19.9 million deaths in 2021 [3].

Aortic valve stenosis (AVS) is considered the most prevalent acquired valvular heart disease [4], carrying a specific risk factor for ischemic stroke [5]. It is currently widespread in the West [6] especially affecting those 60 years of age and beyond, with a prevalence of more than 2% [4]. The etiology of AVS is highly comparable to that of atherosclerosis and is closely linked with cardiac risk factors including age, male gender, smoking, hypertension, high low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and diabetes mellitus [7]. When manifesting symptoms, severe AVS has an intimidating 50% 2-year mortality rate [4], however, the advent of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in 2002 has revolutionized the treatment approach [8].

TAVR offers a good substitute to patients ineligible for surgery while demonstrating comparable, and, in some cases, superior outcomes to SAVR across various risk profiles based on several patient randomized control trials [8]. A 3-year study predominantly directed toward the primary outcome of all-cause mortality or disabling stroke revealed a substantial difference, with an incidence of 7.4% for the TAVR group compared to 10.4% in the SAVR group [8]. Another prospective study conducted over 4 years on 196 individuals, aged 65 and older, who underwent SAVR were assessed by MRI scans and neurological examinations pre- and post-operatively. The results revealed clinical stroke in 17%, transient ischemic attack in 2%, and an in-hospital mortality rate of 5% [9]. This disparity in results led to a discernible increase in the annual performance of TAVR surgeries, indicating its effectiveness and wide acceptance [8].

There has been a consistently higher incidence of stroke with SAVR at 21 per 1000 cases, compared to TAVR which is 16 per 1000 cases, in multiple clinical trials involving 2818 participants with follow-up periods of up to 30 days [10]. The cause of neurological complication post-procedure remains a subject of ongoing debate, with a possible assumption of manipulation of atherosclerotic plaque during aortic valve repair [11]. Additionally, a longer cardiopulmonary bypass time during surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) is linked to a higher stroke risk, likely due to hemodynamic changes. A lack of early imaging may contribute to the delayed diagnosis of stroke, in addition to giving time for a thrombus to form on embolized material, leading to a delayed onset of post-procedural clinical presentation [12]. The prevention of postoperative stroke may be possible with an adequate antithrombotic or anticoagulant regimen, with studies leading the American College of Chest Physicians to recommend the use of aspirin as the preferred antithrombotic therapy after SAVR for ≥ 3 months, and the combination of aspirin and clopidogrel after TAVR [11]. This further emphasizes the importance of understanding and mitigating these risks in both procedures. Thus, this study aims to scrutinize the incidence of stroke following TAVR and SAVR procedures in AVS patients, hoping to yield valuable insights into the relative safety and efficacy of these interventions.

Methods

This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement and recommendations of the Cochrane Collaboration [13].

Search strategy and data sources

A comprehensive electronic search was performed on Medline (PubMed), Google Scholar, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) databases from their inception to December 2023 by two independent investigators (V.K. and M.G). The following search strategy was used: ((ischemic stroke) OR (non-hemorrhagic stroke)) AND ((surgical aortic valve replacement) AND (transcatheter aortic valve replacement)). Duplicate references were identified and removed. We included all qualifying randomized controlled trials (RCT) and observational studies without any time restriction but limited our study to English-language research to focus on relevant literature. The detailed search strategy for each database along with the retrieved number of search results is found in Supplementary Table S1.

Study selection

All studies were assessed for eligibility and included if they met the following criteria: (a) participants age ≥ 80 years; or age ≥ 70 years with intermediate or high operative risk from conventional aortic valve replacement (AVR), as determined by the multi-disciplinary team; (b) patients with severe aortic valve stenosis defined as an effective orifice area < 1 cm2 or indexed for body surface area < 0.6 cm2/m2 and a mean aortic valve gradient > 40 mmHg or peak systolic velocity > 4 m/s; (c) symptomatic aortic valve stenosis (NYHA Functional Class II or greater); (d) incidence of stroke and/or transient ischemic attack reported at 30 days and 1-year post-procedure comparing TAVR with SAVR; (e) all patients were evaluated by a heart team consisting of at least an imaging cardiologist, an interventional cardiologist, and a cardiac surgeon; and (e) asymptomatic patients included if they had left ventricular posterior wall thickness of 17 mm, decreasing left ventricular ejection fraction, or new onset Atrial fibrillation (AF). Studies with patients having another severe heart valve disease or coronary artery disease (CAD) requiring intervention or those undergoing SAVR with concomitant coronary artery bypass graft or simultaneous mitral repair/replacement were excluded. Non-English articles and articles not reporting stroke and transient ischemic attack as outcomes were also removed. Detailed exclusion criteria are given in the supplementary appendix.

Data extraction

Two authors (A.A and M.H) independently assessed the retrieved reports and only studies fulfilling the pre-defined inclusion criteria were selected. Initially, all studies were screened based on their title and abstract, followed by a comprehensive review of the full-length article to ascertain its relevancy. A third investigator (S.R) was consulted to address any discrepancies. Data including each study’s design, inclusion/exclusion criteria, the sample size of each treatment group (SAVR and TAVR), baseline patients’ characteristics, and their co-morbids (diabetes, hypertension, cerebrovascular disease, coronary artery disease, and peripheral vascular disease) was extracted using an Excel spreadsheet. The primary outcomes of interest were the risk of stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) at 30-day and 1-year follow-ups. All-cause mortality and incidence of periprocedural complications including myocardial infarction (MI), acute kidney injury (AKI), and major vascular complications were also assessed as secondary outcomes at 30 days and 1-year follow-ups. Due to the notable variation in defining disabling versus non-disabling stroke or major versus minor stroke and the limited number of studies included, subgroup analyses were not performed.

Risk of bias and quality assessment

The quality assessment of non-randomized cohort and case–control studies was performed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) (Supplementary Tables S3 and S4) [14]. To estimate the potential bias in the included trials, we used the modified Cochrane Collaboration’s risk of bias tool for randomized controlled trials, which assesses the following domains: random sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of participants and personnel, blinding of outcome assessment, completeness of outcome data and selective outcome reporting [15]. Two researchers (A.R and M.Z) examined the studies and judged the potential for bias, categorizing each item as having low, unclear, or high risk (Supplementary Table S2). Ultimately, the overall risk of bias for each trial was determined, considering whether bias within specific domains could significantly affect risk estimates.

Statistical analysis

The risk of stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), all-cause mortality, and periprocedural complications between groups was presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for each study, pooled using the DerSimonian and Laird random effects model [16]. Forest plots were created to visually illustrate the results of pooling. The presence and degree of statistical heterogeneity across studies were assessed using the Chi-square test and Higgins and Thompson's I2 statistic [17], with p < 0.10 considered statistically significant. I2 values were interpreted according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions, Sect. 10.10 [18]. All statistical analyses were conducted using Review Manager (RevMan, Version 5.4; The Cochrane Collaboration, Copenhagen, Denmark). Assessment of publication bias was not possible due to the limited number of studies included (< 10) [27].

Results

Search results

An initial electronic search of five databases retrieved 378 studies from Cochrane Central, 3890 from Google Scholar, 1459 from Medline (Pubmed), 957 from Web of Science, and 1344 from Embase. After removing duplicates and ineligible studies, 2599 records were screened based on their title and abstracts, and 1679 studies were excluded. We evaluated 920 records in full-text for eligibility and removed most of them for not reporting the desired outcome (n = 250), having insufficient details (n = 289), not being in the English language (n = 311), or assessing the wrong population (n = 62). Only 8 studies were identified for inclusion in the review. The flow of studies through the literature search and study selection process is summarised in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1
figure 1

From: Page MJ, McKenzie JE, Bossuyt PM, Boutron I, Hoffmann TC, Mulrow CD, et al. The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. BMJ 2021;372:n71. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n71

PRISMA study flow chart. PRISMA, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.

Study characteristics

Out of the 8 studies that met the pre-specified inclusion criteria, 5 were randomized controlled trials (RCTs) [19,20,21,22,23], 2 were cohort studies [24, 25] and 1 was a propensity score-matched case–control study [26]. Overall, 6879 patients were randomly assigned to the TAVR group (n = 3478) or the SAVR group (n = 3401) (Table 1). All studies only recruited patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis, with the transfemoral route being the most preferred access site for TAVR across all studies. Assessment of publication bias was not possible due to the limited number of studies included (< 10) [27].

Table 1 Baseline Characteristics of Included Studies

Risk of bias assessment

In every eligible study, the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale and the Cochrane Collaboration’s modified tool assessed the overall risk of bias to be low. However, allocation concealment in two studies was deemed to pose an unclear risk due to inadequate specification. Three randomized trials were rated at a high risk of bias for blinding of participants and medical personnel since it is difficult to conceal the type of intervention performed. These trials also had a high risk of detection bias possibly due to non-blinding of outcome assessors or variation in characteristics of study participants. Tables and graphs summarizing the risk of bias assessment of RCTs and Non-RCT studies are shown in Fig. 2a, b, and Supplementary Tables S2, S3, and S4.

Fig. 2
figure 2

a, b Risk of bias assessment

Results of the meta-analysis

Eight studies examining the effectiveness of TAVR versus SAVR were included.

Stroke

Six studies, involving 4,829 patients, provided data on the 30-day incidence of stroke (Fig. 3A). Leon 2016’s research study had the highest weight (68.3%) among the pooled studies with the narrowest 95% CI of 0.91 [0.62, 1.32]. No significant difference was observed in the 30-day risk of stroke among patients who underwent TAVR compared to patients undergoing SAVR (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.17, p = 0.30, I2 3%). Heterogeneity was low between studies (τ2 = 0.01, I2 = 3%). (Fig. 3A).

Fig. 3
figure 3

Random-effects meta-analysis of transcatheter aortic valve replacement vs. surgical aortic valve replacement for (a) 30-day stroke risk and (b) 1-year stroke risk Boxes and horizontal lines depict the odds ratio and its corresponding 95% confidence interval for each study. Values of τ2 around 0.04 are considered to indicate low heterogeneity. TAVR transcatheter aortic valve replacement, SAVR surgical aortic valve replacement, M-H Mantel–Haenszel, CI confidence interval

Seven studies (6,439 patients) reported 1-year stroke risk. Patients undergoing TAVR had a comparable 1-year risk of stroke with those undergoing SAVR, OR 0.92 (95% CI 0.64 to 1.33, p = 0.67, I2 52%). Moderate heterogeneity was observed between studies (τ2 = 0.11, I2 = 52%). (Fig. 3B).

TIA

Figure 4A represents a meta-analysis of the transient ischemic attack (TIA) risk at 30 days of follow-up. Thyregod 2015’s research study has the lowest weight (14.4%) and the largest spread among all the pooled studies with a 95% CI of 4.72 [0.22, 99.24]. There was no evidence of a significant difference between TAVR and SAVR in the risk of having a transient ischemic attack within 30 days following surgery (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.24 to 3.63, p = 0.92, I2 52%). Moderate heterogeneity was observed between studies (τ2 = 0.94, I2 = 52%).

Fig. 4
figure 4

Random-effects meta-analysis of transcatheter aortic valve replacement vs. surgical aortic valve replacement for (a) 30-day TIA risk and (b) 1-year TIA risk. Boxes and horizontal lines depict the odds ratio and its corresponding 95% confidence interval for each study. Values of τ2 around 0.04 are considered to indicate low heterogeneity. TIA Transient Ischemic Attach, TAVR transcatheter aortic valve replacement, SAVR surgical aortic valve replacement, M-H Mantel–Haenszel, CI confidence interval

When the studies were pooled to assess the 1-year TIA risk between TAVR and SAVR, Leon 2016’s study was found to have the highest weight (51.4%) and therefore, the greatest influence on the overall effect outcome (Fig. 4B). There was a greater 1-year risk of having a transient ischemic attack in the TAVR group when compared to the SAVR group, OR 1.15 (95% CI 0.72 to 1.82, p = 0.56, I2 0%), however, this was not a statistically significant difference. No heterogeneity was observed between studies (τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0%). Assessment of publication bias was not possible due to the limited number of studies reporting TIA as an outcome.

All-cause mortality

Six studies (5,697 patients) compared the rate of death from any cause between TAVR and SAVR patients at 30-days post-procedure. The results indicate that there was no significant difference between the two groups in the death rate at 30 days following the procedure (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.19, p = 0.34, I2 19%) (Fig. 5A). However, at 1 year post-procedure, TAVR resulted in a significantly lower rate of all-cause mortality than surgery, OR 0.75 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.95, p = 0.02, I2 40%). Moderate heterogeneity was observed between studies (τ2 = 0.04, I2 = 40%) (Fig. 5B).

Fig. 5
figure 5

Random-effects meta-analysis of transcatheter aortic valve replacement vs. surgical aortic valve replacement for (a) 30-day all-cause mortality rate and (b) 1-year all-cause mortality rate. Boxes and horizontal lines depict the odds ratio and its corresponding 95% confidence interval for each study. Values of τ2 around 0.04 are considered to indicate low heterogeneity. TAVR transcatheter aortic valve replacement, SAVR surgical aortic valve replacement, M-H Mantel–Haenszel, CI confidence interval

Peri-procedural complications

There was no significant difference between the two groups regarding the incidence of myocardial infarction at 30 days and 1 year following the procedure. However, TAVR had a significantly lower incidence of AKI at 1 year after the procedure compared with surgery (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.43 to 0.81, p = 0.0009, I2 0%).

Conversely, major vascular complications after the procedure were significantly higher in the TAVR group as compared to the SAVR group at both 30-day and 1-year follow-ups {(OR 2.90, 95% CI 1.20 to 7.03, p = 0.02, I2 76%) (OR 2.78, 95% CI 1.34 to 5.75, p = 0.006, I2 77%) respectively}. Considerable heterogeneity was observed between the studies (τ2 = 0.31, I2 = 77%) (Supplementary Figures S1-S3).

Discussion

Amid a major transformation in the treatment of severe aortic stenosis, an emerging option in the form of a transcatheter approach for aortic valve replacement has challenged traditional full sternotomy valve replacement, first in extreme-risk patients and now in high and intermediate-risk groups. Thus, our study aimed to examine the safety and efficacy of TAVR as an emerging option versus conventional SAVR in intermediate and high-risk patients.

Despite diagnostic and treatment advancements, stroke is a common and feared complication for both TAVR and SAVR. It is a major contributor to disability, causing a significant decline in an individual's overall health. Valve placement and implantation during TAVR can elevate the risk of embolic stroke in patients while cross-clamping the aorta during SAVR can increase the likelihood of dislodging loose atheromatous plaque or mural emboli [28, 29]. Our meta-analysis compared the occurrence of stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) among patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) to shed light on the effectiveness of these interventions in preventing such events. Our study's findings, which indicate a comparable 30-day and 1-year stroke risk between TAVR and SAVR patients, align with the 5-year outcomes of the PARTNER trial, as reported by Mack et al. [30]. In this trial, there was no significant difference in stroke rates between the TAVR and SAVR groups at the 5-year follow-up mark.

Moreover, consistent with previous studies [28, 31], our findings demonstrated that performing TAVR in intermediate-to-high-surgical risk patients resulted in comparable 30-day and 1-year rates of transient ischemic attack with SAVR. Villablanca et al. [32] also found no significant difference in the risk of disabling stroke between TAVR and SAVR in intermediate-risk patients. These findings suggest that TAVR, despite its advantages, did not reduce stroke incidence in intermediate-to-high-risk patients over the course of one year.

However, undoubtedly TAVR has shifted the paradigm of management of severe, symptomatic AS over the past two decades, with innovations in transcatheter valve design, imaging, and increasing operator expertise collectively boosting safety and minimizing procedural complications [28]. Our findings also reflect this, since TAVR resulted in a significantly lower rate of all-cause mortality than surgery at 1 year post-procedure. This is concurrent with the findings of an NIS study conducted by Alqahtani et al. [33] which concluded that TAVR is linked to reduced hospital mortality, lower resource use, and decreased costs compared to SAVR. In contrast, a 2020 study providing an overview of multiple systematic reviews revealed that out of 11 peer-reviewed systematic reviews, 8 reported no differences in mortality between TAVR and SAVR at short and long-term follow-up times, albeit in low-intermediate-risk patients [34].

When safety endpoints were compared between the two procedures, our meta-analysis revealed no significant difference in the incidence of MI at 30 days and 1 year after the procedures, however, TAVR was associated with a significantly lower incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) at the 1-year follow-up compared with surgery. The relationship between AKI and aortic valve replacement is intricate, with multiple risk factors including hypothermia, non-pulsatile blood flow during cardiopulmonary bypass, euvolemic hemodilution during open-heart surgery, and cholesterol embolization during aortic cannulation increasing the likelihood of AKI after SAVR [35]. A meta-analysis conducted in 2018 also showed that the incidence of AKI was 59% significantly lower with TAVR than with SAVR [36].

Arora et al.’s study assessing national trends in complications after TAVR and SAVR in the States demonstrated that TAVR typically shows lower rates of complications like stroke, cardiogenic shock, AKI, and the need for blood transfusions, but higher occurrences of permanent pacemaker implantation, cardiac arrest, and vascular complications [37]. This is concomitant with Mehmet [38] and Lazkani’s [36] studies in which the TAVR group had more vascular complications compared to the SAVR group (17.9% vs. none, 8.78% vs. 3.15% respectively). Our findings also complement data from these studies with major vascular complications seen significantly higher in the TAVR group as opposed to the SAVR group at both 30-day and 1-year follow-ups. Earlier device versions had more frequent aortic injuries and iliac avulsions due to the larger size of the first-generation sheaths. Now, complications are primarily localized to the access site, with dissections, hematomas, and thrombosis being the most common, often treatable with endovascular techniques [36].

The overall results indicating comparable risks of TIA and stroke between TAVR and SAVR patients hold significant implications for clinical decision-making. Clinicians need to carefully consider the risks and benefits of each procedure when determining the most suitable treatment approach for individual patients. Recent research emphasizes the importance of considering patient-specific factors, procedural risks, and long-term outcomes when choosing between TAVR and SAVR. These findings provide valuable insights to clinicians, aiding them in delivering patient-centered care and improving outcomes in the management of aortic valve disease [39,40,41].

Limitations

While our meta-analysis offers valuable insights, it is important to recognize several limitations. Firstly, there may be variations among the included studies regarding patient characteristics, procedural methodologies, and follow-up procedures, potentially introducing sources of bias. Moreover, the analysis relies on aggregated data from published studies, lacking individual patient data for a thorough examination, which restricts the ability to control for confounding factors or conduct subgroup analyses.

Conclusion

The comparison between TAVR and SAVR patients revealed no notable disparities in outcomes for both TIA and stroke incidence at 30 days and 1 year post-procedure. The degree of heterogeneity differed between the two outcomes, with TIA analyses showing moderate heterogeneity and stroke analyses indicating either minimal or no heterogeneity. For patients with intermediate-high surgical risk, both TAVR and SAVR exhibit varying safety profiles, with TAVR having better long-term rates of all-cause mortality and AKI, but a higher incidence of major vascular complications post-procedure. Medical professionals should consider this when advising patients, weighing the advantages and disadvantages of each approach, and encouraging patients to make informed, personalized decisions regarding their treatment.

Availability of data and materials

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this published article and its supplementary information file.

Abbreviations

BMI:

Body mass index

NYHA:

New York heart association

PCS:

Prospective cohort study

RCT:

Randomized controlled trial

SAVR:

Surgical aortic valve replacement

TAVR:

Transcatheter aortic valve replacement

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V.K., S.R., A.R., and M.Z., = The concept and design of the study. M.G., E.L., K.A., and M.P. = Data acquisition. A.A., M.H., M.G., and V.K. = Performed the data extraction and interpreted the results. A.R., M.Z., V.K., S.M., S.R. = Analyzed the data and drafted the manuscript. All authors critically revised the manuscript, approved the final version to be published, and agreed to be accountable for all aspects of the work.

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Correspondence to Vikash Kumar Karmani.

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Rehman, S., Ghani, M., Riaz, A. et al. Ischemic stroke incidence in intermediate or high-risk patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement versus surgical aortic valve replacement: a comparative systematic review and meta-analysis. Egypt J Neurol Psychiatry Neurosurg 60, 125 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s41983-024-00899-5

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