High neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts early neurological deterioration in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage patients

Abstract

Background

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is caused by bleeding, primarily into parenchymal brain tissue, and accounts for 9 to 27% of all strokes worldwide. Higher neutrophils, lower lymphocytes, and higher neutrophil-to-lymphocytes ratio (NLR) values predict worse outcomes after spontaneous intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) and could aid in the risk stratification of patients.

Methods

Eighty patients with sICH within the first 24 h of stroke onset and admitted into the neurology intensive care unit of an Egyptian university hospital and were assessed by GCS for consciousness level and NIHSS for stroke severity assessment, complete blood count, and special attention to NLR. Patients were reevaluated by GCS and NIHSS on the 7th day of the stroke. Early neurological deterioration (END) was defined as four points or a greater increase in the NIHSS score or two points or a greater decrease in GCS or death.

Results

END was recorded in 21.25% of patients while non-END was recorded in 78.75%. END was highly significantly associated with a low grade of GCS, high grade of NIHSS, elevated absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), and elevated NLR. Lower GCS score, higher NIHSS score, larger hematoma volume, and higher NLR values were independent predictors for END. The best cutoff of NLR in END prediction was > 9.1.

Conclusion

NLR is a trustworthy early predictor of sICH outcome.

Introduction

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) accounts for about 10 to 15% of all cerebrovascular strokes and affects over one million people per year globally. It is characterized by high rates of mortality and residual disability among survivors, with no therapeutic strategies of definitive benefit [1]. Early neurological deterioration (END) is common after sICH. It is associated with increased length of in-hospital stay, poor functional recovery, and death [2].

The immune reaction is a key characteristic of ICH pathology and affects its course. The response to cerebral hematoma is not limited to the brain and results in systemic effects. Inflammatory markers on admission, such as elevated leukocyte count, interleukin-6, and C-reactive protein (CRP) are associated with poor prognosis [3,4,5]. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is linked to 3 months recovery in ICH patients [6], but its link with short-term outcome is undiscovered (Fig. 1). So we aimed to assess the association between leukocyte count and NLR on admission with the occurrence of END during the initial week after sICH onset.

Fig. 1

ROC curve for detection of NLR cutoff with regard to END

Patients and methods

This prospective cohort study included 80 patients diagnosed with sICH within the first 24 h of stroke onset and admitted into the neurology intensive care unit.

Inclusion criteria

All patients were enrolled if their aged above 18 years old with first-ever sICH.

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion criteria included those who suffered from isolated intraventricular hemorrhage as the majority of these cases are associated with an underlying microvascular cause [7], hemorrhage secondary to a brain tumor, dural venous sinus thrombosis, patients on anticoagulants, patients receiving immune-modulatory treatment (e.g., corticosteroids, azathioprine, methotrexate, other cytostatic, and biological agents as monoclonal antibodies) as these agents alter the immune response of patients, patients with a head injury and surgery within 4 weeks preceding the event, patients with pre-existing infections like tuberculosis and hemorrhagic diseases or blood malignancies, patients with a severe degree of hepatic or renal disease, and patients with chest or urinary tract infection.

Patients were subjected to the following:

• A full history was taken, including hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and smoking.

• General and neurological examination with assessment of consciousness state on admission using the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and classifying our patients into three categories: those with a score of 3–7 (severely disturbed consciousness), 8–13 (moderately disturbed consciousness), and more than 13 (mildly disturbed consciousness) [8] and using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) for stroke severity assessment. The severity of the stroke can be categorized according to the points of the score into mild (1–4), moderate (5–15), severe (16–20), and extremely severe (21–42) [9].

Laboratory investigations

• Complete blood count with special attention to the total leukocytic count, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), platelet count, and NLR (by dividing ANC by ALC).

• Blood glucose level and its correlation with the patient’s history if he was a known diabetic or not, to identify patients with admission stress hyperglycemia, liver and kidney functions, acute phase reactants especially CRP, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR).

Radiological investigations

• Computerized tomography (CT): using GE ProSpeed Dual Slice F II CT with MX135 Tube. CT brain was done, for all patients, on admission with stress on the identification of the site of hematoma right or left hemispheric, supra- or infra-tentorial; the size of the hematoma is measured by the formula (equation A × B × C × 0.5) where A and B indicate the largest perpendicular diameters through the hyperdense area on the CT scan, and C indicates the thickness of slice (9 mm), presence of surrounding edema, and intraventricular extension [10].

Follow-up

All patients were followed up to detect END as all patients were re-evaluated by GCS and NIHSS on the 7th day of the stroke. END was defined as four points or a greater increase in the NIHSS score or two points or a greater decrease in GCS or death or both [6].

Statistical analyses:

The data were coded and entered using the statistical package SPSS. The data were summarized using mean and SD and median and IQ range for quantitative data, and number and percentage for qualitative data. Student’s t test was used to assess statistical differences between the two groups of quantitative data. Nonparametric Mann–Whitney (MW) and Kruskal–Wallis (KW) tests were used for quantitative variables, which were not normally distributed. P values less than or equal to 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

Results

We included in this prospective cohort study 80 adult patients with first-ever acute intracerebral hemorrhage, 61 males (76.25%) and 19 females (23.75%) with age ranged from 30 to 85 years. The mean age was 57.132 ± 11.37. Eighty-eight percent of our patients were hypersensitive, 17% were diabetic, 54% were dyslipidemic, 42% were current smokers, and the body temperature of studied patients was 37.04 ± 0.25 (M ± SD) with a median value of 37.0 and range 36.7–38.5. The patients with END presented were 21.25% (17 patients) while patients with non-END were 78.75% (63 patients). END was highly significantly associated with low grades of GCS (3–7) (p = 0.000) and high grade of NIHSS (> 20) (p = 0.000) (Table 1). There was a highly statistically significant higher absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) (median = 0.8, range 0.5–1) and NLR (median = 10.9, range 8.6–33.3) among END patients (Table 2). NLR had significantly positive correlation with SBP (p = 0.02), DBP (p = 0.01), temperature (p = 0.000), and random blood sugar (RBS) (p = 0.000), NIHSS (p = 0.049), and negative significant correlation with GCS (p = 0.008) (Table 3). In multivariate logistic regression for independent predictors of END, we found that severe or moderate coma as assessed by GCS (p = 0.000 and 0.02 respectively), extremely severe stroke as assessed by NIHSS (p = 0.02), hematoma size ˃ 20.5 mm³ (p = 0.000), and NLR ˃ 9.1 (p = 0.002) were independent predictors for END (Table 4).

Table 1 Association of early neurological deterioration (END) with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores

Table 2 Relation of early neurological deterioration (END) with laboratory parameters

Table 3 Correlation between our study parameters and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR)

Table 4 Multivariate logistic regression for independent predictors of early neurological deterioration (END)

Discussion

We found that 17 (21.25%) patients had END while 63 (78.75%) patients did not have END, and 85.71% of our patients had GCS score 3–7 and 23.5% of patients had GCS score 8–13 on admission which had highly significant relationship with END outcome. The same results were obtained by [11, 12] who found that patient’s outcome was significantly related to the level of consciousness as assessed by GCS. Also, Wang et al. [13] and Zis et al. [14] all determined that there is a statistically significant relation between death after ICH and the admission GCS score.

There was a highly significant statistical relation between END and NIHSS. Matched results were obtained by Cheung and Zou [15] and Mahdy et al. [16] who found that admission NIHSS had a statistically significant relationship with the 30-day deterioration. Essa et al. [17] and Christensen et al. [18] also found a significant relationship between mortality following ICH and higher admission NIHSS. Our study did not demonstrate significant relation between WBCs and END which was matched with Behrouz et al. [19] and El-Tallawy et al. [12] who found that admission leukocytosis had no significant relation to a poor outcome. Contrary to our results, Mahdy et al. [20] found that the elevated WBC count was statistically significantly related to overall mortality.

There was a positive correlation between NLR and admission NIHSS. This is matching with the results of Giede-Jeppe et al. [21] who found, in a study of 855 patients with sICH, that patients with NLR ≥ 4.66 showed significant associations with poorer neurological status as measured by the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale. The same results were obtained by Sun et al. [22] who found that higher admission NLR was associated with higher NIHSS scores in a prospective study of 352 patients with acute ICH. In the present study, the NLR values on admission did not have a statistically significant correlation with age. This is matching with the results of Wang et al. [23] and Wang et al. [24] who found that NLR on admission had no statistically significant relation to age. On the other hand, other results were in disagreement with ours [25], which found that age was detected in a linear correlation with NLR in a retrospectively study of 336 patients with sICH. These different results may be due to their larger sample size (336 patients), and they followed up patients up to 3 months after sICH onset. Also, there was a significant relation between END and NLR values measured on admission. This is in agreement with the results obtained by Luo et al. [26], as they concluded that NLR values in the sICH patients rise significantly compared to that in the control group. This is also in agreement with the results obtained by Wang et al. [24] who found that the early rise of NLR predicts 30-day mortality in patients with sICH. Matching results were also obtained by Lattanzi et al. [27] who found that NLR was significantly associated with END during the first week after ICH onset.

Conclusion

There are different early predictors of sICH outcome which can be classified into clinical predictors (GCS and NIHSS), laboratory predictors (NLR), and radiological predictors (large hematoma volume).

Recommendation

Neurologists and ICU specialists should consider adding NLR values into consideration when predicting neurological deterioration in patients with sICH, in addition to studying this point on a larger sample size in other stroke units.

Area	Cutoff	P	95% Confidence Interval
			Lower Bound	Upper Bound
0.848	>9.1	0.007*	.646	1.000

1. The best cutoff of NLR in END prediction was > 9.1 and that had a highly significant value (p=0.007)