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Table 4 Prediction of moderate-severe discharge disability and 1-month disability

From: Prediction of acute cerebrovascular stroke disability using mSOAR score (Stroke subtype, Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project, age, mRS and NIHSS)

mSOAR cut off point

Sensitivity (95% CI)

Specificity (95% CI)

PPV

NPV

mRS ≥ 4 at discharge

 ≥ 2

98.3 (95–100)

31.7 (17.5–45.9)

67.4

92.9

 ≥ 3

74.6 (63.5–85.7)

87.8 (77.8–97.8)

89.8

70.6

 ≥ 4

39 (26.6–51.4)

100 (96.4–100)

100

53.2

 = 5

16.9 (7.3–26.5)

100 (96.4–100)

100

45.6

mRS ≥ 4 after 1 month

 ≥ 2

97.6 (92.9–100)

22 (12–32)

46.5

92.9

 ≥ 3

80.5 (68.4–92.6)

72.9 (61.6–84.2)

67.3

84.3

 ≥ 4

53.7 (38.4–69)

98.3 (95–100)

95.7

75.3

 = 5

24.4 (11.3–37.5)

100 (95.7–100)

100

65.6

  1. 95% CI 95% confidence interval, PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, mRS modified Rankin Scale, mSOAR modified SOAR (Stroke subtype, Oxfordshire community stroke project, age and modified Rankin score)